Live Prices
BITCOIN
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24h Vol
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ETHEREUM
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ETH/BTC
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FEAR & GREED
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Signal
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AlphaCycle Index
STRUCTURAL RISK INDEX (0–100)
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ARC RISK
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/100
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200W MA DEV
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DRAWDOWN
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FEAR & GREED
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LIQUIDITY
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0–29
DEEP VALUE
30–39
ACCUMULATION
40–59
EXPANSION
60–69
RISK RISING
70–100
EUPHORIA
Historical ARC Returns
Avg. 12-Month Forward Returns by ARC Zone — Based on Backtest Data (2017–Present)
Historically strongest entry zone
0–29
DEEP VALUE
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— win rate
— entries
High probability long-term returns
30–39
ACCUMULATION
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— win rate
— entries
Moderate upside, increasing risk
40–59
EXPANSION
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— win rate
— entries
60–69
RISK RISING
⚠️ NO ENTRY ZONE
Historically unfavorable entry point
— entries
Avg -40% drawdown from peak
70–100
EUPHORIA
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— win rate
— entries
Based on weekly backtest data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Cycle Overview
ARC RISK LEVEL
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Cycle Phase
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ST Score
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Tactical
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30–90d Upside
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30–90d Downside
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ALPHACYCLE INDEX
Days Since Bottom
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DAYS SINCE TOP
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Cycle Top
Oct 2025
Est. Cycle Bottom
Oct 2026
Time Confidence
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Near-Term Outlook 30-90D
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK
30-90D
CONDITIONS SCORE
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SEASONALITY
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ETH/BTC RATIO
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Component Breakdown
ARC History
BTC Price + ARC Score
Historische Daten werden geladen (kann bis zu 15 Sek. dauern)...
ARC MOMENTUM (30D)
Decision Engine
Suggested Position
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Spot Allocation
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12M Expected Range
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Confidence
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ARC RISK LEVEL — / 100
Zone History
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Data Sources
Kraken
Alt.me Fear&Greed
DeFiLlama TVL
DeFiLlama Stablecoins
FRED
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